Shenghua Luan

Professor, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing, China

Website Shengua Luan


Shenghua Luan is the principal investigator of the Risk And Uncertainty Management (RAUM) lab at the Institute of Psychology, Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS). Shenghua is a cognitive psychologist who has a wide range of interests in judgment and decision-making research, including heuristics in judgment and decision making, group decision processes, wisdom of the crowds, organizational and managerial decision-making, human cooperative behavior, risk communications, and sports and business forecasting. In his research, Shenghua combines the descriptive approach (i.e., how do people make judgments and decisions?) with a prescriptive one (i.e., how can we help people improve their judgments and decisions?) and applies a variety of methods for investigation (e.g., human experiments, cognitive modeling, computer simulations, and analysis of archival data). Findings of Shenghua’s previous research have been published in top-tier journals, including Psychological Review, Academy of Management Journal, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, and Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. RAUM was established in June 2018 and is under fast and steady development. For those who are interested in and seek more information about the research of the lab, please contact Dr. Luan directly.

Research interests

  • Heuristics in judgment and decision making
  • Group decision processes and the wisdom of crowds
  • Organizational and managerial decision making
  • Cooperation and human cooperative behavior
  • Sports forecasting
  • Risk communication and literacy in China 

Selected publications

Fang, J., Schooler, L., & Shenghua, L. (2023). Machine learning strategy identification: A paradigm to uncover decision strategies with high fidelity. Behavior Research Methods, 55(1), 263-284.

Reb, J., Luan, S., & Gigerenzer, G. (2023). Smart heuristics: Management in a world of uncertainty.

Wu, J., Luan, S., & Raihani, N. (2022). Reward, punishment, and prosocial behavior: Recent developments and implications. Current Opinion in Psychology, 44, 117-123.

Gigerenzer, G., Reb, J., & Luan, S. (2022). Smart heuristics for individuals, teams, and organizations. Annual Review of Organizational Psychology and Organizational Behavior, 9, 171-198.

Wang, Y., Luan, S., & Gigerenzer, G. (2022). Modeling fast‐and‐frugal heuristics. PsyCh Journal, 11(4), 600-611.

Luan, S., & Reb, J. (2017). Fast-and-frugal trees as process models of performance-based personnel decisions. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 141, 29-42.